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2007 Annual Conference
Strategic Planning: Lessons from Practice
Session Abstract
David I. Goldenberg, Ph.D.
Chairman [Ret.]
Systematic Forecasting, Inc.
To be discussed: The merits and uses of four distinct and objective ways to
reliably classify strategic planning systems as generally valid or workable;
a special case; and generally invalid or unworkable.
Sun-tzus Ping Fa or The Art of War, circa 514 BC, offered
the first known description of that process. Dr. George Steiner of Lockheed
proposed a 25-point process in the early 1960s. I commercialized a computerized
approach based on economic principles at the urging of Dr. George Sawyer in
the late 1970s after examining the nine strategic planning systems popular at
that time. Over a dozen additional strategic planning systems were assessed
with that methodology in the next 25 years; the results were interesting, even
startling. The National Association of Corporate Directors asked me to devise
a simpler method for corporate directors; they published that nine-step process
as "A Director's Guide to Strategic Planning: The Paramount v. Time Inc.
Legacy" in the May 1995 issue of Directors Monthly.
Such a taxonomy has several uses besides its primary and immediate benefit
of identifying strategic planning systems that will help rather than hurt a
firm or leave it vulnerable to attack and also will enable the Board of Directors
to invoke the good-business practice rule as a shield. A secondary but more
diffused advantage comes from applying the taxonomy as a training / teaching
tool. But, in my opinion, its subtlest and most potent use lies in its competitive
intelligence application of quickly spotlighting fatal flaws in a rivals
strategic planning system. Those weaknesses can be readily attacked with little
chance of either advance warning or a successful counter.
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